Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.102350 0.113342 0.124514 0.136691 0.149561 0.162731 0.177200
2025-05-25 0.085623 0.102458 0.120328 0.140577 0.162758 0.186197 0.212722
2025-06-01 0.070490 0.090403 0.112354 0.138040 0.166985 0.198329 0.234579
2025-06-08 0.059014 0.080744 0.105533 0.135366 0.169793 0.207821 0.252566
2025-06-15 0.052970 0.076546 0.104216 0.138266 0.178288 0.223165 0.276644
2025-06-22 0.047304 0.072136 0.102087 0.139721 0.184702 0.235816 0.297409
2025-06-29 0.044254 0.070619 0.103146 0.144710 0.195043 0.252835 0.323068
2025-07-06 0.039755 0.066794 0.101005 0.145523 0.200194 0.263647 0.341438
2025-07-13 0.039558 0.068590 0.105884 0.154936 0.215664 0.286585 0.373963
2025-07-20 0.034498 0.063333 0.101389 0.152387 0.216407 0.291956 0.385814
2025-07-27 0.032670 0.062429 0.102444 0.156743 0.225535 0.307269 0.409358
2025-08-03 0.030060 0.060174 0.101537 0.158456 0.231296 0.318485 0.428017
2025-08-10 0.028197 0.059065 0.102338 0.162674 0.240610 0.334532 0.453145
2025-08-17 0.025919 0.057171 0.101995 0.165395 0.248115 0.348523 0.476031
2025-08-24 0.022118 0.052496 0.097467 0.162319 0.248061 0.353123 0.487500
2025-08-31 0.018778 0.048188 0.093176 0.159321 0.247918 0.357469 0.498553
2025-09-07 0.017410 0.047086 0.093467 0.162511 0.255749 0.371691 0.521638
2025-09-14 0.015776 0.045336 0.092674 0.164113 0.261449 0.383227 0.541435
2025-09-21 0.015190 0.045445 0.094670 0.169607 0.272282 0.401231 0.569226
2025-09-28 0.013634 0.043549 0.093466 0.170502 0.276971 0.411470 0.587449
2025-10-05 0.014198 0.045840 0.098854 0.180848 0.294324 0.437807 0.625666
2025-10-12 0.012050 0.042479 0.095160 0.178048 0.293998 0.441657 0.635990
2025-10-19 0.011534 0.042418 0.096718 0.182832 0.303879 0.458524 0.662526